Asset Allocation Suggestion for aggressive profile

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Rico's allocation suggestion is made by our experts and is an opportunity for you, who have doubts about where to invest, to diversify your portfolio! It is done aiming for higher returns in accordance with the portfolio risk with our current reading of the macroeconomic scenario. We emphasize that  the suggestion is intended to provide guidance to the investor , however,  we do not recommend selling current assets  to fit the suggestion without first talking to a specialist. What to worry about in April? 1. Vaccine vs. Covid This has been the main question since the pandemic began, and the expectation of an answer is what has impacted the markets the most. Throughout March we saw positive developments in immunization in some countries, but at the same time new restrictions in places that have seen an increase in cases of the disease again, such as Brazil.

The Voldemort of the economy remains at large: inflation Inflation in Brazil reached 5.20% in February (accumulated over 12 months) and we expect the pressure to continue in the short term, still reflecting the rise in international commodity prices, more depreciated exchange rate levels cell phone number list and supply problems in some sectors industries caused by the pandemic. Our projections (final reading) for the IPCA in this and the next few months are: 1.08% in March; 0.50% in April; 0.44% in May; and 0.33% in June. In the second half of the year, we expect relief from this price increase as interest rates increase (understand this relationship here), consumption weakens and the exchange rate becomes more stable. Therefore, we maintain the projection of an increase of 4.9% for the IPCA in 2021.



Government debt in Brazil increases risk perception The year 2021 began with the worsening of the situation, pushing for more spending this year as well. Furthermore, the effect of higher inflation over the past year has caused government spending for this year to rise much higher than expected a year ago. As a (defeated) icing on the cake, Congress approved a practically unrealistic budget for this year (yes, which had not yet been approved). In the approved document, mandatory expenses, such as pensions and public servants' payroll, are underestimated by between R$30-40 billion — ignoring the rise in inflation, and cutting expenses without credible criteria, to guarantee investments in parliamentary strongholds. As these expenses will need to be covered, the chances of the government being forced to cut other expenses (those that it can change, such as investments and payment of public funds) increase in order to pay the mandatory expenses.

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